Fold to C-Bet in Poker: What the Stat Tells You

What a c-bet is

A continuation bet (c-bet) is a bet on the flop made by the player who raised before the flop, regardless of whether the flop helped them. It's the natural follow-up to preflop aggression.

Fold to c-bet is the other side of that action. It measures how often a player folds when they face a continuation bet.

The formula

fold to flop c-bet = times folded to a flop c-bet / times faced a flop c-bet

Say an opponent faced your c-bet 20 times and folded 11. Their fold to flop c-bet is 11 / 20 = 55%.

Trackers also record this for the turn (fold to turn c-bet), which tends to behave differently from the flop.

How to read the number

• High fold to c-bet. The opponent gives up too easily. You can c-bet more often, including with weak hands and even air.
• Low fold to c-bet. The opponent calls or raises a lot. C-bet less often as a bluff and bet more for value.
• Around the middle. Many 6-max players fold to a flop c-bet somewhere around half the time. That's a rough guide: the right number depends on stakes, position and board texture.

Context changes the stat

• Position. A player in position is less likely to fold than one out of position.
• Heads-up vs multiway. A multiway c-bet should get more folds than a heads-up c-bet.
• Board. Dry boards get c-bet more and folded to more often than wet boards.

A single overall number hides all of this. If your tracker splits it by position, look at the split.

Using it against opponents

If you can see an opponent's fold to c-bet, you can act on it:

1. Against a high fold to c-bet, c-bet wide on the flop, especially against a single caller.
2. Against a low fold to c-bet, don't bluff the flop without a plan for the turn, and value bet your good hands.
3. Compare with their fold to turn c-bet. A player who calls the flop and folds the turn is a target for a second barrel.

Use it on yourself too

Your own fold to c-bet shows whether you're being exploited. If it's very high, opponents can bet any flop against you and win, and if it's very low you may be calling too much. Read it together with aggression factor and WTSD and W$SD.

One caution

Like every situational stat, fold to c-bet needs a decent sample, because it only counts the hands where the opponent faced a c-bet. How many hands you need before your stats are reliable explains how much to trust a number built on a few dozen opportunities.